Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.115258 0.123781 0.132612 0.142451 0.153113 0.164325 0.177017
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.103428 0.116228 0.130172 0.146521 0.165199 0.185914 0.210686
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.093558 0.108380 0.125081 0.145351 0.169364 0.196995 0.231332
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.085859 0.101919 0.120514 0.143726 0.172050 0.205645 0.248742
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.078487 0.095097 0.114774 0.139930 0.171409 0.209729 0.260252
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.075198 0.092857 0.114227 0.142159 0.177948 0.222592 0.283005
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.070427 0.088412 0.110583 0.140130 0.178783 0.228052 0.296279
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.066510 0.084772 0.107671 0.138742 0.180183 0.234078 0.310346
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062162 0.080314 0.103427 0.135302 0.178562 0.235862 0.318563
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059042 0.077283 0.100854 0.133872 0.179445 0.240890 0.331295
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.056767 0.075244 0.099461 0.133900 0.182221 0.248508 0.347891
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.053923 0.072293 0.096683 0.131849 0.181934 0.251741 0.358231
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.051691 0.070127 0.094936 0.131224 0.183726 0.258134 0.373740
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051091 0.070192 0.096267 0.134998 0.191988 0.274221 0.404537
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.048963 0.068003 0.094317 0.133928 0.193071 0.279756 0.419523
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.046861 0.065755 0.092172 0.132445 0.193418 0.284129 0.432830
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044305 0.062745 0.088802 0.128980 0.190583 0.283483 0.438091
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043526 0.062287 0.089112 0.131015 0.196186 0.295996 0.464990
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041696 0.060203 0.086937 0.129162 0.195653 0.298852 0.476223
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.040139 0.058463 0.085200 0.127896 0.195950 0.302982 0.489695
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038175 0.056039 0.082341 0.124754 0.193103 0.301887 0.494221
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036797 0.054455 0.080697 0.123448 0.193131 0.305427 0.506784
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.035828 0.053462 0.079919 0.123474 0.195305 0.312557 0.525883